Estoril 0-3 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

Estoril
0-3 HT 0-2
Sporting CP
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Estoril vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
19%
6.26
Away Pick
66%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.61
Over
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.12
No
56%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
22%
5.93
2-3
36%
2.06
4-5
30%
2.58
6+
12%
5.86
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.93 — our 22% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
24.45
1/2
9%
24.0
1/X
5%
31.0
X/1
5%
31.5
X/2
20%
3.4
X/X
7%
10.55
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
37%
1.3
2/X
7%
32.0
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Estoril v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP The Market 84%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
0.75/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.71
-18% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -4%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 85%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
10.7 Crosses 20.7
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Estoril vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.58 xG 2.23
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
286 Passes 464
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Estoril Estoril 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
05.01.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5-1 HT 2-0 Estoril Estoril POR
27.02.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
02.09.2022 Estoril Estoril 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
20.02.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
19.09.2021 Estoril Estoril 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR

Estoril 0-3 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril
0-3
AWAY Sporting CP
0.13 xG 1.89
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 14
228 Passes 596
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
6 Box Touches 49
4 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Estoril vs Sporting CP
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sporting CP cruised past Estoril 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came home.

Under the surface, Sporting CP saw more of the ball, 70% to 30%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.13 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.17 a game for Estoril against 2.33 for Sporting CP.

Estoril vs Sporting CP Result & Final Score

Estoril 0-3 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Estoril vs Sporting CP Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Estoril 15%, draw 19%, Sporting CP 66%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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