Hradec Kralove 2-3 Slovan Liberec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.29/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.75
-6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
22.9 Crosses 19.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Slovan Liberec
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.95 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
296 Passes 250
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-2 HT 0-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
09.11.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
21.04.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
11.11.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-1 HT 1-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
26.05.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-3 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
21.05.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-4 HT 0-3 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
2-3
AWAY Slovan Liberec
0.41 xG 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
321 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Slovan Liberec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec nicked a narrow win over Hradec Kralove 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Slovan Liberec found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 47% of the ball to Slovan Liberec's 53%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.41 to 2.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Slovan Liberec's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Liberec led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hradec Kralove and 1.50 for Slovan Liberec.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Slovan Liberec?

Hradec Kralove 2-3 Slovan Liberec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Slovan Liberec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 34%, draw 29%, Slovan Liberec 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Liberec), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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