Banik Ostrava 0-3 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 58%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
0.92/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.91
-26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
23.0 Crosses 20.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 1.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
244 Passes 364
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 3-2 HT 3-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
05.04.2025 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
02.11.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-3 HT 1-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
14.05.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
20.04.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-3 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
12.11.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
0-3
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.02 xG 1.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
235 Passes 359
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag swept aside Banik Ostrava 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 42% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 58%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.02 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Banik Ostrava and 1.83 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prag?

Banik Ostrava 0-3 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 20%, draw 27%, Sparta Prag 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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