Slovacko 1-2 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+8.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovacko EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.55/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.44/1.94
+14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
238 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
21.1 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovacko
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Karvina
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
226 Passes 274
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 Karvina Karvina 2-0 HT 0-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
28.09.2024 Slovacko Slovacko 2-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
02.03.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-3 HT 1-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
23.09.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 2-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
09.04.2022 Slovacko Slovacko 3-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
12.11.2021 Slovacko Slovacko 3-1 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovacko
1-2
AWAY Karvina
2.38 xG 1.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
302 Passes 220
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slovacko vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina nicked a narrow win over Slovacko 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Slovacko at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Slovacko had 57% of the ball to Karvina's 43%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.38 to 1.31 — on chances, Slovacko could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovacko had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Slovacko and 1.00 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Slovacko vs Karvina?

Slovacko 1-2 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovacko vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovacko win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Slovacko 43%, draw 25%, Karvina 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slovacko) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovacko) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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