Hartlepool United 1-1 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.95
Over
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.67
No
52%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.33
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.22
6+
9%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.33 — our 30% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.82
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
20%
4.81
X/2
9%
7.06
X/X
9%
4.92
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
11%
5.08
2/X
7%
13.75
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth The Market 32%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.36 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.56
1.11 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.30
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
125 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 100 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Tamworth
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2025 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-2 HT 1-2 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
10.12.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İNFAT
20.08.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
1-1
AWAY Tamworth
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Hartlepool United vs Tamworth
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Hartlepool United and Tamworth with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.

We leaned Hartlepool United at 51% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (55%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 58% to 42% in Hartlepool United's favour, shots finished 14-23.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Hartlepool United against 1.00 for Tamworth.

Hartlepool United vs Tamworth Result & Final Score

Hartlepool United 1-1 Tamworth in the England - National League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hartlepool United vs Tamworth Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 51%, draw 24%, Tamworth 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hartlepool United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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