Ilkeston Town vs Workington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ilkeston Town v Workington — Team-Based Signals
Ilkeston Town vs Workington Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
Ilkeston Town
İNGNLP
6-1
HT 2-1
Workington
İNGNLP
Ilkeston Town 3-2 Workington — Actual Match Statistics
Ilkeston Town squeezed past Workington 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ilkeston Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Ilkeston Town had 49% of the ball to Workington's 51%, shots finished 13-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Ilkeston Town and 1.75 for Workington.
What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Workington?
Ilkeston Town 3-2 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Workington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 54%, draw 22%, Workington 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilkeston Town) — a clean sweep of the main markets.