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Arsenal (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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Arsenal (K) 1-1 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) and Aston Villa (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Arsenal (K) carried 79% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arsenal (K) had 67% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 33%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.69 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Arsenal (K) and 1.50 for Aston Villa (K).
What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Arsenal (K) 1-1 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 79%, draw 12%, Aston Villa (K) 10%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.