Elfsborg 1-2 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Sep 2025

Elfsborg
1-2 HT 0-2
Degerfors
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Elfsborg vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.0
Over
55%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.64
No
41%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.79
2-3
40%
1.85
4-5
25%
3.27
6+
12%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.68
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
17%
4.78
X/2
10%
7.47
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1 ✗
12%
23.0
2/2
10%
5.34
2/X
9%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Elfsborg v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors The Market 30%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.56/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.52
+11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
23.4 Crosses 24.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Elfsborg vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Degerfors
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.74 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
328 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.04.2025 Degerfors Degerfors 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
03.03.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇK
05.11.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
22.04.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
14.10.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
01.05.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 0-6 HT 0-4 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ

Elfsborg 1-2 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
1-2
AWAY Degerfors
1.62 xG 1.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
390 Passes 253
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Elfsborg vs Degerfors
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Degerfors came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Elfsborg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Elfsborg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) landed.

On the day, Elfsborg had 59% of the ball to Degerfors's 41%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.62 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Elfsborg and 1.00 for Degerfors.

Elfsborg vs Degerfors Result & Final Score

Elfsborg 1-2 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Elfsborg vs Degerfors Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 49%, draw 26%, Degerfors 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elfsborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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