Eibar 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Sep 2025

Eibar
1-1 HT 0-1
Deportivo La Coruna
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Eibar vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.62
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
16%
5.34
X/2
13%
5.94
X/X
16%
4.09
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
13%
4.29
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eibar v Deportivo La Coruna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.35/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.08
+22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
23.3 Crosses 10.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Eibar vs Deportivo La Coruna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 1.27
55% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
345 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 19
34 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.02.2025 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
11.11.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
03.03.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS1
15.10.2017 Eibar Eibar 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
28.01.2017 Eibar Eibar 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
19.08.2016 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS1

Eibar 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.24 xG 2.15
66% Ball Possession 34%
23 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
519 Passes 233
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar and Deportivo La Coruna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Eibar had 66% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 34%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.24 to 2.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eibar and 1.00 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Eibar 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Eibar 35%, draw 30%, Deportivo La Coruna 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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