Monza U20 1-2 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.18
Over 2.5
41%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
42%
+16.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
58%
-16.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 54%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.77/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.37
+17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza U20
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2025 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 1-2 HT 1-1 Monza U20 Monza U20 İTAPŞ1
08.01.2025 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 1-0 HT 0-0 Monza U20 Monza U20 İTAKPR
25.11.2024 Monza U20 Monza U20 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Monza U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 edged past Monza U20 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fiorentina U20 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Monza U20 and 1.00 for Fiorentina U20.

What was the final score of Monza U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Monza U20 1-2 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Monza U20 26%, draw 28%, Fiorentina U20 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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