Beerschot VA 1-0 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.83
-5% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.0 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beerschot VA
1-0
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
3.40 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 10
377 Passes 262
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA nicked a narrow win over Lokeren-Temse 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beerschot VA as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Beerschot VA had 56% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 44%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 3.40 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Beerschot VA's control.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Lokeren-Temse?

Beerschot VA 1-0 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 61%, draw 22%, Lokeren-Temse 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beerschot VA) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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