Kortrijk 1-0 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.51/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.81
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
24.0 Crosses 14.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AS Eupen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
347 Passes 274
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
07.04.2024 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
02.12.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
20.08.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
08.04.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
03.09.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
1-0
AWAY AS Eupen
2.24 xG 0.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
319 Passes 378
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk edged past AS Eupen 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kortrijk as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 47% of the ball to AS Eupen's 53%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.24 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kortrijk's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kortrijk had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kortrijk and 0.83 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs AS Eupen?

Kortrijk 1-0 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 55%, draw 23%, AS Eupen 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kortrijk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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