Waasland-Beveren 2-1 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
9%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
71%
+1.3pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.4pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.68/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.18
+1% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.0 Crosses 14.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
2W-3D-1L
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.58 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2025 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-2 HT 0-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
20.09.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-0 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
09.03.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-2 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
19.08.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-1 HT 0-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
08.05.2021 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-5 HT 1-2 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BELP
01.05.2021 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-1 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BELP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
2-1
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.46 xG 0.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
337 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren edged past RFC Seraing 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 51% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 49%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.46 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Waasland-Beveren's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.33 for RFC Seraing.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs RFC Seraing?

Waasland-Beveren 2-1 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 72%, draw 19%, RFC Seraing 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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