ES Tunis 4-1 AS-FAN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 27 Sep 2025

ES Tunis
4-1 HT 2-1
AS-FAN
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2025/2026

ES Tunis vs AS-FAN Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
8%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.67
No
52%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
78%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
8%
Away Win
6%
+2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
33%
+14.3pp
52%
BTTS No
67%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ES Tunis v AS-FAN — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY AS-FAN EU Bookmakers 8%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+42% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
441 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 70%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards –

ES Tunis 4-1 AS-FAN — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Tunis
4-1
AWAY AS-FAN
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs AS-FAN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis swept aside AS-FAN 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, ES Tunis had 60% of the ball to AS-FAN's 40%, shots finished 22-6.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs AS-FAN?

ES Tunis 4-1 AS-FAN in the CAF Champions League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs AS-FAN?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 69%, draw 23%, AS-FAN 8%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ BTTS No
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