Mlandege 3-2 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlandege EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlandege
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.09.2025 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 HT 1-0 Mlandege CAFŞL
POST-MATCH Mlandege vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlandege squeezed past Ethiopian Insurance 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Mlandege found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mlandege vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Mlandege 3-2 Ethiopian Insurance in the CAF Champions League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlandege vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mlandege 37%, draw 24%, Ethiopian Insurance 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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