Orlando Pirates 4-0 Lioli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.16
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
8%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
2%
X/X
11%
2/1
15%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
82%
-7.4pp
18%
Draw
13%
+4.7pp
8%
Away Win
6%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.1pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lioli EU Bookmakers 8%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
429 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 72%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lioli
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
20.09.2025 Lioli Lioli 0-3 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
4-0
AWAY Lioli
75% Ball Possession 25%
12 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Lioli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates ran out comfortable winners over Lioli 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 75% of the ball to Lioli's 25%, shots finished 12-1.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Lioli?

Orlando Pirates 4-0 Lioli in the CAF Champions League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Lioli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 74%, draw 18%, Lioli 8%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFŞL More CAF Champions League
27 Sep 2025
16:00 Black Bulls Maputo vs Leopards de Dolisie Analysis →
16:15 Mlandege vs Ethiopian Insurance Analysis →
19:00 Vipers vs African Stars Analysis →
20:00 ES Tunis vs AS-FAN Analysis →
22:00 MC Alger vs Fassell Analysis →
22:00 FAR Rabat vs Real De Banjul Analysis →