Brabrand 2-1 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.43
6+ Goals
13%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brabrand EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.31/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.03
-2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brabrand
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Thisted
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.09.2024 Brabrand Brabrand 3-0 HT 2-0 Thisted Thisted DAK
08.06.2024 Thisted Thisted 1-0 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
05.05.2024 Brabrand Brabrand 1-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
28.03.2024 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
08.08.2023 Thisted Thisted 4-2 HT 0-1 Brabrand Brabrand DAK
05.08.2023 Brabrand Brabrand 1-2 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
POST-MATCH Brabrand vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brabrand edged past Thisted 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Thisted at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thisted led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brabrand and 1.33 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Brabrand vs Thisted?

Brabrand 2-1 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brabrand vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thisted win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brabrand 34%, draw 24%, Thisted 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thisted), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thisted) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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