AFC Fylde 2-2 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-2.9pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 23%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
3.52/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+61% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2025 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-3 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
11.03.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-2 HT 1-2 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
12.11.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
22.02.2022 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-2 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
11.12.2021 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
06.10.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
2-2
AWAY Darlington 1883
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde and Darlington 1883 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. AFC Fylde carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 60% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 40%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AFC Fylde and 1.17 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Darlington 1883?

AFC Fylde 2-2 Darlington 1883 in the England - FA Cup on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 55%, draw 20%, Darlington 1883 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Fylde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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