Lyon (K) 6-1 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.29
No
48%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
70%
-2.3pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.9pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.8pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.50/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.58
+20% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +80%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
26.1 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
6W-0D-0L
AWAY PSG (K)
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.59 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
332 Passes 289
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2025 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
18.01.2025 PSG (K) PSG (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
03.11.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
17.05.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
28.04.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
20.04.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 3-2 HT 0-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon (K)
6-1
AWAY PSG (K)
2.43 xG 1.11
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
377 Passes 207
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) swept aside PSG (K) 6-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lyon (K) had 61% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 39%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.43 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lyon (K) and 0.67 for PSG (K).

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Lyon (K) 6-1 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 68%, draw 18%, PSG (K) 14%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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