Le Havre (K) 3-2 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.2pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.39/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/2.02
+70% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.0 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.48 xG 1.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
228 Passes 332
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.01.2025 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) FRK1
18.10.2024 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) 0-1 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
17.03.2024 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) 3-3 HT 0-1 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
15.12.2023 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre (K)
3-2
AWAY Montpellier (K)
1.39 xG 1.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
191 Passes 368
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Havre (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) squeezed past Montpellier (K) 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Le Havre (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Le Havre (K) had 38% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 62%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.39 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Montpellier (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Le Havre (K) and 1.75 for Montpellier (K).

What was the final score of Le Havre (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Le Havre (K) 3-2 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Le Havre (K) 38%, draw 33%, Montpellier (K) 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Havre (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Havre (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK1 More France - Women's 1st Divisioni
27 Sep 2025
18:00 Marsilya (K) vs Fleury 91 (K) Analysis →
18:00 Dijon (K) vs Strasbourg (K) Analysis →
22:00 Lyon (K) vs PSG (K) Analysis →