Afan Lido 0-1 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
53%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.3pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.7pp
53%
Away Win
42%
+11.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.96/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.02
+21% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 7.00
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 11
28.03.2014 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 7-1 HT 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GAL
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town nicked a narrow win over Afan Lido 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aberystwyth Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town?

Afan Lido 0-1 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 28%, draw 18%, Aberystwyth Town 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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