Daegu 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.59
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.1
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
14%
7.84
X/2
18%
4.71
X/X
11%
5.27
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.54
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.1 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 53%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.85/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.34
+66% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
15.4 Crosses 21.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
265 Passes 469
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 42
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.07.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 0-1 Daegu Daegu GKOR
13.04.2025 Daegu Daegu 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
10.08.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
26.06.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
01.05.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
29.10.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-1
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
267 Passes 364
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu and Ulsan Hyundai couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Daegu had 44% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 56%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Daegu and 1.50 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Daegu 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Daegu 33%, draw 23%, Ulsan Hyundai 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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