Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.28
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
16%
5.43
X/2
9%
6.31
X/X
10%
4.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.7
2/2
13%
4.12
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -21%
1.27/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.51
+20% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses 15.8
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
288 Passes 450
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.06.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
02.05.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
10.11.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-3 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
28.07.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
01.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 3-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
20.04.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2-0
AWAY Pohang Steelers
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
450 Passes 187
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu saw off Pohang Steelers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimcheon Sangmu as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 67% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 33%, shots finished 19-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 0.50 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Pohang Steelers?

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 45%, draw 25%, Pohang Steelers 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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