Aktobe 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.56/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.28
-5% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.06.2025 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
28.07.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
12.05.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
23.09.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
02.04.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 1-3 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
05.09.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe nicked a narrow win over Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aktobe and 0.67 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Aktobe 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 53%, draw 27%, Kyzyl-Zhar 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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