Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Sep 2025

Deportivo Pereira
2-2 HT 1-1
Union Magdalena
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Deportivo Pereira vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Pereira v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.24/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.28
+12% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
20.2 Crosses 12.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Deportivo Pereira vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.53 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2025 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
22.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
12.04.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
17.10.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
30.04.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 2-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL

Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Union Magdalena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2-2
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.48 xG 1.06
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
294 Passes 165
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 8
40 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira and Union Magdalena couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Deportivo Pereira carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 61% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 39%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.48 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.20 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Union Magdalena?

Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 60%, draw 25%, Union Magdalena 15%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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