Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
26%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.7pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-9.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
0.81/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.99
-15% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.6 Crosses 22.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.19 xG 2.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
337 Passes 364
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
14.04.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 4-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
10.11.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.58 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
251 Passes 232
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF edged past Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 50% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 50%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.58 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 2.50 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 41%, draw 33%, Atletico Bucaramanga 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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