FC Juarez 2-0 Leon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 27 Sep 2025

FC Juarez
2-0 HT 1-0
Leon
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

FC Juarez vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Juarez v Leon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leon EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.39/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.30
+10% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.1 Crosses 15.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

FC Juarez vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Leon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.38 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
288 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.01.2025 Leon Leon 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
20.10.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-3 Leon Leon MEK
28.04.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 1-0 Leon Leon MEK
13.11.2023 Leon Leon 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
18.02.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
07.09.2022 Leon Leon 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK

FC Juarez 2-0 Leon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
2-0
AWAY Leon
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
416 Passes 291
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 14
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Leon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez saw off Leon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Juarez as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Juarez had 56% of the ball to Leon's 44%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Juarez and 1.33 for Leon.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Leon?

FC Juarez 2-0 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Leon?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Juarez win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 47%, draw 25%, Leon 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Juarez) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Juarez) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →