Leon vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs FC Juarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
FC Juarez
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
FC Juarez
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
Leon 1-0 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics
Leon nicked a narrow win over FC Juarez 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Leon as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Leon had 49% of the ball to FC Juarez's 51%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.88 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Leon's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leon and 0.67 for FC Juarez.
What was the final score of Leon vs FC Juarez?
Leon 1-0 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs FC Juarez?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Leon 50%, draw 24%, FC Juarez 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.