Santos Laguna 1-4 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.11
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.23/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.00
-32% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
18.9 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Club America
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.75 xG 2.47
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
241 Passes 407
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
07.04.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
22.10.2023 Club America Club America 4-3 HT 3-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
05.02.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-2 HT 2-1 Club America Club America MEK
15.09.2022 Club America Club America 3-3 HT 1-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
13.02.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-3 HT 2-2 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
1-4
AWAY Club America
3.11 xG 3.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 4
301 Passes 438
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
40 Box Touches 49
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America swept aside Santos Laguna 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 44% of the ball to Club America's 56%, shots finished 18-23, expected goals 3.11 to 3.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Santos Laguna and 2.67 for Club America.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Club America?

Santos Laguna 1-4 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 20%, draw 29%, Club America 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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