Club America 3-0 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.77
6+ Goals
9%
7.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.96 — our 25% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-12.2pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.6pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.98/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.95
+12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
449 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.8 Crosses 13.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Santos Laguna
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.14 xG 0.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
364 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
22.10.2023 Club America Club America 4-3 HT 3-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
05.02.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-2 HT 2-1 Club America Club America MEK
15.09.2022 Club America Club America 3-3 HT 1-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
13.02.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-3 HT 2-2 Club America Club America MEK
20.10.2021 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
3-0
AWAY Santos Laguna
3.00 xG 0.19
71% Ball Possession 29%
27 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
530 Passes 171
92% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 6
26 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club America vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America ran out comfortable winners over Santos Laguna 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Club America had 71% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 29%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 3.00 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Club America and 2.00 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Club America vs Santos Laguna?

Club America 3-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Club America 61%, draw 23%, Santos Laguna 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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