Pumas UNAM 3-0 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 20 Oct 2024

Pumas UNAM
3-0 HT 1-0
Atletico San Luis
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pumas UNAM v Atletico San Luis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.87/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.65
+14% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.2 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.77 xG 1.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
326 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-1 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
17.09.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
09.04.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
19.08.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-2 HT 1-2 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
21.04.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
08.08.2021 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-3 HT 1-2 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK

Pumas UNAM 3-0 Atletico San Luis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
3-0
AWAY Atletico San Luis
2.34 xG 0.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
335 Passes 430
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM swept aside Atletico San Luis 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 45% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 55%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.34 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pumas UNAM and 2.33 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis?

Pumas UNAM 3-0 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 49%, draw 26%, Atletico San Luis 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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