Guadalajara 1-1 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 26 Jan 2025

Guadalajara
1-1 HT 1-1
Tigres UANL
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
10%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guadalajara v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.08/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.12
-23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.1 Crosses 19.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalajara
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.57
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 Passes 404
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
22.01.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
29.10.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-4 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
29.05.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-3 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
26.05.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
26.02.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-2 HT 0-2 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK

Guadalajara 1-1 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalajara
1-1
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.92 xG 1.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
290 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara and Tigres UANL couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Guadalajara had 46% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 54%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.92 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guadalajara and 1.67 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL?

Guadalajara 1-1 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 35%, draw 30%, Tigres UANL 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Under 2.5
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