Cruz Azul vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Puebla
MEK
1-3
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-2
HT 2-2
Puebla
MEK
1-3
HT 1-2
Puebla
MEK
Cruz Azul 1-1 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul and Puebla couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cruz Azul at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 70% of the ball to Puebla's 30%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 0.82 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.50 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
Cruz Azul 1-1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 66%, draw 19%, Puebla 15%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.