Puebla vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Puebla v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Puebla vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Puebla 1-2 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul squeezed past Puebla 2-1 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (57%) came home.
Under the surface, Puebla had 37% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 63%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.39 to 2.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruz Azul's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Puebla and 1.50 for Cruz Azul.
Puebla vs Cruz Azul Result & Final Score
Puebla 1 - 2 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Puebla vs Cruz Azul Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Puebla 16%, draw 21%, Cruz Azul 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.