Queretaro 0-1 Toluca — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 19 Oct 2024

Queretaro Elo 1537 · World #1106 (clubs) LWWDD→
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Toluca Elo 1699 · World #222 (clubs) WDLWD→
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Queretaro vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.12
Draw
22%
3.74
Away
60%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.14
OverVIEW
60%
1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.17
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.54
2-3
45%
1.9
4-5
28%
2.9
6+
8%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
2%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Queretaro v Toluca — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Queretaro The Market 24%
Signal
AWAY Toluca The Market 59%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.86 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.14
1.72 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Bad
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Queretaro vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Toluca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.98 xG 1.88
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
203 Passes 473
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 2-2 HT 1-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
08.10.2023 Toluca Toluca 3-1 HT 1-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
06.03.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-0 HT 1-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
02.10.2022 Toluca Toluca 4-1 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
25.02.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
03.10.2021 Toluca Toluca 1-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK

Queretaro 0-1 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
0 - 1
AWAY Toluca
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
285 Passes 509
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
REVIEW Queretaro vs Toluca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Toluca edged past Queretaro 1-0 on their travels.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Queretaro had 39% of the ball to Toluca's 61%, shots finished 14-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queretaro and 1.83 for Toluca.

Queretaro vs Toluca Result & Final Score

Queretaro 0 - 1 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Queretaro vs Toluca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 18%, draw 22%, Toluca 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toluca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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