Atlas 0-0 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.38/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.39
-16% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.0 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mazatlan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.10 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
352 Passes 292
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
30.12.2023 Atlas Atlas 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan HAZ
21.10.2023 Atlas Atlas 1-3 HT 1-2 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
13.01.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-1 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
08.09.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
15.04.2022 Atlas Atlas 1-2 HT 0-2 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
0-0
AWAY Mazatlan
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
270 Passes 278
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas and Mazatlan fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Atlas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atlas had 49% of the ball to Mazatlan's 51%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mazatlan led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atlas and 1.50 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Mazatlan?

Atlas 0-0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atlas 42%, draw 24%, Mazatlan 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atlas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlas) ✓ Under 2.5
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