Monterrey vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Monterrey
MEK
1-2
HT 1-1
Monterrey
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
5-2
HT 2-2
Monterrey
MEK
Monterrey 2-3 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca edged past Monterrey 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Monterrey had 64% of the ball to Pachuca's 36%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.53 to 1.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monterrey and 1.50 for Pachuca.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Pachuca?
Monterrey 2-3 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Pachuca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 49%, draw 27%, Pachuca 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.