Al Masry 2-3 Petrojet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 36% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrojet EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.41/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.42
+5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
20.3 Crosses 19.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Petrojet
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.34
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 Passes 170
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Al Masry Al Masry 4-0 HT 1-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
23.01.2025 Petrojet Petrojet 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
14.12.2014 Petrojet Petrojet 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
2-3
AWAY Petrojet
2.53 xG 1.44
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
355 Passes 167
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Petrojet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrojet edged past Al Masry 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Masry at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Masry had 64% of the ball to Petrojet's 36%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.53 to 1.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Masry.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Petrojet led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Masry and 1.67 for Petrojet.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Petrojet?

Al Masry 2-3 Petrojet in the Egypt - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Petrojet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 54%, draw 29%, Petrojet 17%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Masry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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