Al Mokawloon 0-1 Kahraba Ismailia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.94
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kahraba Ismailia EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.92/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.95
-21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
22.6 Crosses 13.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kahraba Ismailia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.05.2025 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-1 HT 0-0 Kahraba Ismailia MSR2
19.01.2025 Kahraba Ismailia 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
0-1
AWAY Kahraba Ismailia
1.55 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
267 Passes 234
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Kahraba Ismailia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kahraba Ismailia squeezed past Al Mokawloon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Mokawloon at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 53% of the ball to Kahraba Ismailia's 47%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.55 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kahraba Ismailia led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Mokawloon and 1.00 for Kahraba Ismailia.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Kahraba Ismailia?

Al Mokawloon 0-1 Kahraba Ismailia in the Egypt - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Kahraba Ismailia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 47%, draw 29%, Kahraba Ismailia 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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