Masr 0-1 Haras El Hodood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
46%
1.99
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
13%
5.79
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.99 — our 46% vs market 41.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.1pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.3pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.15/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.31
+40% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
393 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.2 Crosses 16.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Haras El Hodood
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.67 xG 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
194 Passes 317
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 45
1 Yellow Cards 0
30.11.2024 Masr 2-0 HT 2-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
03.09.2020 Masr 1-1 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
11.12.2019 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
0-1
AWAY Haras El Hodood
1.20 xG 0.40
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
339 Passes 189
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Masr vs Haras El Hodood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haras El Hodood squeezed past Masr 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Masr at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Masr had 62% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 38%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Masr.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Masr had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Masr and 0.33 for Haras El Hodood.

What was the final score of Masr vs Haras El Hodood?

Masr 0-1 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs Haras El Hodood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Masr 43%, draw 35%, Haras El Hodood 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Masr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Masr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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