Piast Gliwice 4-2 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 27 Sep 2025

Piast Gliwice
4-2 HT 1-2
Nieciecza
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Piast Gliwice vs Nieciecza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.48
X/2
8%
8.27
X/X
10%
4.75
2/1
13%
24.3
2/2
11%
6.4
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Piast Gliwice v Nieciecza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.35/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.50
-11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.6 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Piast Gliwice vs Nieciecza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nieciecza
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.55 xG 1.85
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
232 Passes 303
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.10.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POLK
14.05.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
26.11.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
19.05.2018 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 4-0 HT 2-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
07.04.2018 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
05.11.2017 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL

Piast Gliwice 4-2 Nieciecza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
4-2
AWAY Nieciecza
2.05 xG 2.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
307 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 42
17 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice got the better of Nieciecza 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Piast Gliwice as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 48% of the ball to Nieciecza's 52%, shots finished 19-22, expected goals 2.05 to 2.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nieciecza.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Piast Gliwice and 0.67 for Nieciecza.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Nieciecza?

Piast Gliwice 4-2 Nieciecza in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 50%, draw 25%, Nieciecza 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Piast Gliwice) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Under 2.5
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