Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 27 Sep 2025

Cracovia Krakow
1-1 HT 0-0
Gornik Zabrze
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.56
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
15%
5.37
X/2
14%
5.96
X/X
10%
4.35
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.17
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cracovia Krakow v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.18/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.21
+9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
20.8 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.11 xG 0.75
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
233 Passes 444
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.02.2025 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
24.08.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-2 HT 1-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
03.05.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 5-0 HT 2-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
06.11.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
30.01.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
18.07.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-2 HT 0-2 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL

Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1-1
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
58% Ball Possession 42%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow and Gornik Zabrze couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 58% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 42%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 0.50 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze?

Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 42%, draw 24%, Gornik Zabrze 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Under 2.5
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