Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Feb 2025

Gornik Zabrze
0-1
Cracovia Krakow
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 28% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.19
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
18%
5.12
X/2
9%
6.58
X/X
10%
4.33
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
15%
4.74
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gornik Zabrze v Cracovia Krakow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.68/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.01
+6% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 74%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.3 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 0.98
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
433 Passes 246
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-2 HT 1-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
03.05.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 5-0 HT 2-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
06.11.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
30.01.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
18.07.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-2 HT 0-2 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
06.03.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-0 HT 2-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL

Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Cracovia Krakow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
0-1
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow nicked a narrow win over Gornik Zabrze 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gornik Zabrze at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 65% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 35%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 2.00 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?

Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 42%, draw 26%, Cracovia Krakow 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
28 Feb 2025
20:00 Radomiak Radom vs Widzew Lodz Analysis →