Radomiak Radom 1-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.73
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.49
X/2
10%
7.3
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.73
2/X
9%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.80/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.52
-20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
24.3 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 1.82
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
282 Passes 333
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-2 HT 2-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
25.05.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-3 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
02.12.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
21.05.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 3-1 HT 2-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
06.11.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
26.02.2021 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
1-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.57 xG 0.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
399 Passes 236
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 22
41 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom and Widzew Lodz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Radomiak Radom at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 61% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 39%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.50 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Widzew Lodz?

Radomiak Radom 1-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 44%, draw 28%, Widzew Lodz 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
28 Feb 2025
00:00 Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow Analysis →