Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.9
No
41%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.8pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.53/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.18
+17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Boston River
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
29.09.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
23.06.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
16.03.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
29.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
28.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2-1
AWAY Boston River
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) edged past Boston River 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 45% of the ball to Boston River's 55%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.50 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Boston River?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 44%, draw 30%, Boston River 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
27 Sep 2025
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