Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montevideo Wanderers v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
3-0
HT 1-0
Cerro
URU
Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro nicked a narrow win over Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Montevideo Wanderers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 53% of the ball to Cerro's 47%, shots finished 12-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 0.67 for Cerro.
What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro?
Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 44%, draw 31%, Cerro 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) went the other way.