Cerro 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Jun 2025

📅02/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
15%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
0.96/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.70
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2025 Cerro Cerro 2-1 HT 1-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
17.08.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
18.02.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
04.11.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
26.03.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
29.03.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers squeezed past Cerro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Montevideo Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro and 1.33 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Cerro 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerro 33%, draw 31%, Montevideo Wanderers 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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