Dundalk 0-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
60%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.13
2-3 Goals
45%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
17.65
1/2
9%
24.45
1/X
6%
26.0
X/1
6%
21.15
X/2
25%
3.27
X/X
10%
7.71
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.48
2/X
5%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.1pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.5pp
60%
Away Win
74%
-14.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 79%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
0.95/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.56
-76% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +39%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
19.3 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.44 xG 0.66
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
210 Passes 416
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
17.05.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
16.02.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
25.08.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
23.07.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRK
30.06.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
0-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.35 xG 1.70
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
149 Passes 411
61% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers squeezed past Dundalk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundalk had 32% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 68%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.35 to 1.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shamrock Rovers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundalk and 0.50 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?

Dundalk 0-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 19%, draw 21%, Shamrock Rovers 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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