Örebro 0-1 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
39%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.73
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
11%
7.95
X/2
13%
4.38
X/X
13%
5.12
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.49
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
39%
Away Win
50%
-10.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 54%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.51/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.31
+9% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Östers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Östers Östers 2-0 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
07.10.2023 Östers Östers 3-0 HT 2-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
07.07.2023 Örebro Örebro 1-1 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
16.08.2022 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
14.05.2022 Örebro Örebro 2-1 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
05.09.2005 Örebro Örebro 0-1 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örebro
0-1
AWAY Östers
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers squeezed past Örebro 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Östers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Örebro had 56% of the ball to Östers's 44%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Örebro and 1.50 for Östers.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Östers?

Örebro 0-1 Östers in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Örebro 32%, draw 29%, Östers 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
27 Oct 2024
15:00 Varbergs vs Degerfors Analysis →