Varbergs 0-0 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 Oct 2024

Varbergs
0-0 HT 0-0
Degerfors
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Varbergs vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.8
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.85
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
10%
6.54
X/2
11%
4.99
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
21%
3.03
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varbergs v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 46%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.77/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.12
-45% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Varbergs vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Degerfors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
28.05.2024 Degerfors Degerfors 1-1 HT 0-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs and Degerfors fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Degerfors?

Varbergs 0-0 Degerfors in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 29%, draw 31%, Degerfors 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Degerfors) ✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
27 Oct 2024
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